Fed Watching With Andrew Hunt: Seeing the woods for the trees - don't mistake Fed tactics for strategy

December 13, 2019

Global Economic Sentiment Shifts as US Data Strengthens whilst Eurozone Data Weakens

August 2, 2024
Global economic sentiment shifted in the week as US data strengthened, and Eurozone data weakened. Weaker global economic data raised concerns about central bank hawkishness, leading to a stronger US dollar and weaker currencies. Crude oil prices remained resilient amid supply concerns, while tech stocks led US markets lower as Apple took a hit.
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US Markets Closed Flat, China Stabilizes, and the End of Monetary Tightening in Europe?

August 2, 2024
Despite higher-than-expected US CPI data, bond and equity markets remained calm initially. The jump in inflation was attributed to a temporary rise in energy prices and air travel. However, volatility set in due to the IPO of British chip maker ARM, pushing markets up by around 2%. Fears of a further rate hike set in causing US markets to close flat. Conversely, European, Australian, and UK markets ended the week positively, driven by the performance companies reliant on Chinese exports.
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Markets Slammed By Hawkish Rhetoric Despite Pause From The Fed

August 2, 2024
Equity markets around the world fell more or less in unison last week by about 3-4%, before bouncing slightly on Friday. The UK was really the only market to buck the trend, as the Bank of England unexpectedly kept rates on hold after inflation fell by more than forecast.
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Sticky Inflation Concerns Put Markets on the Back Foot

August 2, 2024
Last week markets were down again, reflecting the trends that took root in September - long-term yields pushing higher with markets on the back foot.
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Riding the Market Rollercoaster

August 2, 2024
If we had written this commentary early in the week as intended, we would have said that markets were still on the back foot, as they were down another few percent. However, having got to the end of this week things have improved quite a bit and most markets are now actually up a few percent, with China leading the way.
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Rising Rates Rattle Stocks as Geopolitical Risks Emerge

August 2, 2024
This week rates have headed resolutely upwards, and stocks have not liked it much with most markets heading steadily downwards throughout the week.
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Rebound in the Nasdaq

August 2, 2024
Markets were up more or less in unison last week despite, or really because of, largely weak economic data in the US and mixed results from the US earnings season.
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Markets finish off the month with a strong week

August 2, 2024
Markets capped off a strong month with an even stronger week, with the leading US market up 4% for the week and 9% of for the month.
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US jobs report surprises on the upside

August 2, 2024
Markets were fairly buoyant for most of the week before a very strong US jobs report upon Friday doused investor hopes that the Fed might pause its interesting rate hiking cycle.
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Is inflation still bubbling under the surface?

August 2, 2024
Markets started the week on the back foot but rallied into the end of the week after what many called a ‘soft’ CPI print. Year on year inflation came in at 8.5%, below the 9.1% from the month before and slightly below the 8.7% that had been expected.
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US dips down while Australia dances to a different tune

August 2, 2024
Markets were down last week and, as we all have come to expect, speculation around inflation was the lightning rod that fed into interest rate expectations and then onto US tech stocks especially.
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Fed ready to do whatever it takes

August 2, 2024
Last week there was much speculation about whether Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s annual Jackson Hole speech would be a market moving event or not, and it turned out it was, for equity markets at least.
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"What do I tell a client who wants to invest in Crypto?"

August 2, 2024
With 2021 bringing cryptocurrencies into the spotlight for both retail and institutional investors, is there a place for these currencies within client portfolio's?
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The market has a "breadth" problem

August 2, 2024
Join InvestSense Director Jonathan Ramsay and Andrew Hunt of Hunt Economics as they discuss the markets ‘breadth’ problem and how strong liquidity should keep things afloat until February.
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Finding value and maintaining confidence in a FOMO world

August 2, 2024
Join host Toby Potter of IMAP with Nick Kirrage of Schroders and Jonathan Ramsay of InvestSense as they discuss value as a style, and as a driver of conviction when investing.
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Inflation in 2022 - Beware of cross currents in 2022

August 2, 2024
With inflation appearing to be on the way up again, what are some of the possible scenario’s for 2022? Where does inflation go from the zero bound we’ve reached?
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What happened in markets in 2021, and why?

August 2, 2024
Join InvestSense Director, Jonathon Ramsey to reflect on the price action seen in markets in 2021 and what this might mean for 2022.
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We've got a bad case of FOMO, but it's not what you think

August 2, 2024
With valuation still being the lightening rod for when markets react to external forces, the most expensive things tend to move the most. What does this mean for global asset allocators, and what is InvestSense’s position?
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Helping your clients assess the climate impact of their Portfolio

August 2, 2024
Nathan Fradley explains how the ethosesg technology can help you assess and design an ethical portfolio that aligns to an investor’s personal values.
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Carbon credits and investing – is it the outcome we expect?

August 2, 2024
ETFs that invest in carbon credits are now available. Why should we assume that their price will go up over time? And does buying a carbon credit ETF actually contribute positively to emissions reduction? Will it actually generate the outcome investors are expecting? This article explores the issues around investing in carbon credits.
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Better World makes a difference with investment in renewables

August 2, 2024
There are many direct assets and funds that contribute positively to climate action within the InvestSense Better World Portfolios. Meridian Energy is one of the stand-out direct assets in the portfolio with a climate energy focus.
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Bad news equals good news

August 2, 2024
In recent years professional investors have got increasingly used to the fact that good news is bad news for markets because higher interest rates are likely to be necessary, and of course vice-versa. However, last week the effect was stronger than ever and stocks rallied mid-week amidst reports of widespread lay-offs and expectations of a weak US jobs report.
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‘Buy the dip’ opportunism start surfacing

August 2, 2024
The US market finally market caught a bid last week. Early in the week the market was down few percent after an earnings miss by ad dependent social media platform Snap (of Snapchat fame) combined with weak guidance raised more doubts about the economy and economic resilience of tech companies.
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US momentarily dips into official bear market territory

August 2, 2024
The seventh negative week in a row for the US sent it briefly into official bear market territory before it recovered slightly late on Friday. The world’s largest stocks (Apple, Microsoft Amazon and Google) are all down 25%.
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How Mark Lewin saved 13 hours a week with Managed Accounts

August 2, 2024
Mark Lewin was a financial planner, but is now the Director of Back Office Heros. In his planning business he gained significant efficiencies by recommending and implementing managed accounts for his clients. He tells us how...
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