Weekly Market Update

Fluctuating global markets and mixed economic signals in the last week of May

June 4, 2024

In Australia, the S&P/ASX 200 index experienced declines during most of last week but has recovered in recent days to end down just 0.3% at the time of writing. Inflation concerns weighed on sentiment, as unexpectedly high CPI data in April suggested that the prospect of interest rate cuts by the Reserve Bank of Australia may be more distant than previously anticipated. This led to broad-based losses across sectors, particularly in industrials, consumer discretionary, and financials. A lower iron ore price on global growth worries also meant the big miners detracted but Anglo American’s rebuffing of BHP’s takeover attempt had the biggest impact.  However, healthcare companies Telix Pharmaceuticals, Pro Medicus bucks the trend on encouraging results while Agricultural stocks like Australian Agricultural Co and Elders benefited from news that China had lifted its ban on Australian beef exports. Lastly, Dominos finally caught a bid, perhaps due to a ground breaking initiative as part of its Japanese roll-out strategy - pineapple injected into the crust mixed with mozzarella.    

Internationally, developed markets as measured by the MSCI World ex Australia Index declined by 0.5% in AUD terms, while emerging markets fared worse with the MSCI Emerging Markets Index falling 3.6%. U.S. stocks, as represented by the S&P 500, fell 0.5%, while European markets such as the Euro Stoxx 50 and the German DAX were slightly negative for the week. The Japanese Nikkei 225 was the best performing international marketer the past week after being the worst performer mid-week.

Nvidia continued to be a major focus in the U.S. market, with its stock contributing significantly to the tech-heavy Nasdaq's gains. However, the biggest moves during the week all happened on Friday in US trading when the Nasdaq fell by 2% before recovering most of those losses within hours. In the first instance a weak result from Salesforce's raised concerns about the broader cloud software industry. The company's slowing growth, attributed to longer sales cycles for large deals and the lack of immediate payoff from the hype surrounding artificial AI, suggests that the sector may be facing challenges in monetising the huge AI related expenses it has incurred. The jump in prices a few hours later was put down to month end rebalancing and all of this overshadowed the much awaited Personal Consumption Expenditures inflation print. As it happened it came in line with expectations at 0.25%. Although the three and six month numbers remain elevated the direction of travel seems to now be in the right direction. Looking forward, attention will likely turn to economic growth and whether this better inflation news is due to a much needed easing of pressure in the US  economy or a sharp deceleration in the consumer economy. 

Quantitative Tightening (QT) with Hunt Economics

August 2, 2024
We discuss Quantitative Tightening with our colleagues from Hunt Economics. With indicators continuing to show the risk of increasing inflation, central banks are looking at strategies to curb the inflation risk.
Read More

A quiet week with some swelling volatility

August 2, 2024
On the face of it was a fairly quiet week leading into the Easter break with most markets ending flat for the shortened week; however, you didn’t have to look too far below the surface to find volatility.
Read More

Rising rates and slowing growth, can't have one without the other

August 2, 2024
Slowing growth and rising rates also proved to be a strong headwind to local Materials and IT stocks respectively with both sectors down 5%.
Read More

Highest inflation print in Australia since 2000

August 2, 2024
The Nasdaq finished the week with another 4% fall on Friday, closing down 13% for the month and more than 20% year to date. The wider US market was also down sharply and is now down 9% and 13% for the month and year to date respectively.
Read More

Daily Volatility as high as mid-march 2020 levels

August 2, 2024
The US S&P 500 was down for the 5th week in a row last week but only by 0.6%, a margin that belied what was in fact an incredibly volatile week. The Nasdaq was up by over 5% on Wednesday only to fall by even more on Thursday.
Read More

Global markets have become extremely US centric

August 2, 2024
Markets have been resting while the US sleeps and gyrating when US markets open. Most of the world market is listed in the US but the difference in volatility between the US has become ever more pronounced in recent weeks.
Read More

Booming Small Caps to Bond Spreads Tightening

August 2, 2024
It was a mildly positive week for global markets, with the S&P/ASX 300 gaining 0.7%. International developed markets were down 0.4% in AUD terms as measured by the MSCI World ex-Australia index.
Read More

Big Tech Flexes Its Muscles With Late Week Surge

August 2, 2024
It was a mixed week in global financial markets as the market continued to assess the likelihood of a hard or soft landing next year and the implication for inflation and interest
Read More

Santa (Powell) Has Come Early For Markets

August 2, 2024
The last week in markets, as is often the case, was totally dominated by the US economy and monetary policy. In this case it was an encouraging inflation print on Wednesday, followed by the US Fed’s decision to keep rates on hold the next day.
Read More

Recap of 2023: Two Stories With The Same Ending

August 2, 2024
This week started with more optimism about the US economy and further stock market gains until a sharp pullback on Wednesday snapped the US market’s nine-session winning streak. Thursday then saw a recovery, putting the S&P 500 back on track for an eighth week of gains, after US inflation data showed a gradual economic cooling in line with Fed hopes.
Read More

Rocking the Boat - Equities Stumble After Big Tech Selloff

August 2, 2024
After outsized gains in big tech stocks last year, global equities have stumbled over the past week amidst a tech selloff, challenging the notion of their invulnerability and potentially signaling a shift in market optimism tied to recent liquidity trends.
Read More

Markets Shrug Off Surprise Upside in US Inflation

August 2, 2024
Despite a higher-than-expected rise in US CPI for December 2022, markets remained relatively sanguine over the implications for growth and monetary policy.
Read More

Andrew Hunt's visit to New York and some key implications for global markets

August 2, 2024
Last week Andrew visited the InvestSense offices and shared his observations and findings from his visit to the United States, specifically New York.
Read More

Helping your clients assess the climate impact of their Portfolio

August 2, 2024
Nathan Fradley explains how the ethosesg technology can help you assess and design an ethical portfolio that aligns to an investor’s personal values.
Read More

Carbon credits and investing – is it the outcome we expect?

August 2, 2024
ETFs that invest in carbon credits are now available. Why should we assume that their price will go up over time? And does buying a carbon credit ETF actually contribute positively to emissions reduction? Will it actually generate the outcome investors are expecting? This article explores the issues around investing in carbon credits.
Read More

Better World makes a difference with investment in renewables

August 2, 2024
There are many direct assets and funds that contribute positively to climate action within the InvestSense Better World Portfolios. Meridian Energy is one of the stand-out direct assets in the portfolio with a climate energy focus.
Read More

Bad news equals good news

August 2, 2024
In recent years professional investors have got increasingly used to the fact that good news is bad news for markets because higher interest rates are likely to be necessary, and of course vice-versa. However, last week the effect was stronger than ever and stocks rallied mid-week amidst reports of widespread lay-offs and expectations of a weak US jobs report.
Read More

‘Buy the dip’ opportunism start surfacing

August 2, 2024
The US market finally market caught a bid last week. Early in the week the market was down few percent after an earnings miss by ad dependent social media platform Snap (of Snapchat fame) combined with weak guidance raised more doubts about the economy and economic resilience of tech companies.
Read More

US momentarily dips into official bear market territory

August 2, 2024
The seventh negative week in a row for the US sent it briefly into official bear market territory before it recovered slightly late on Friday. The world’s largest stocks (Apple, Microsoft Amazon and Google) are all down 25%.
Read More

How Mark Lewin saved 13 hours a week with Managed Accounts

August 2, 2024
Mark Lewin was a financial planner, but is now the Director of Back Office Heros. In his planning business he gained significant efficiencies by recommending and implementing managed accounts for his clients. He tells us how...
Read More
Icon of a letter

InvestSense insights, delivered straight to your inbox.

Icon of a letter

Get the latest industry news

Icon of a letter

Get the latest industry news

Icon of a letter

Get the latest industry news