Weekly Market Update

Fluctuating global markets and mixed economic signals in the last week of May

June 4, 2024

In Australia, the S&P/ASX 200 index experienced declines during most of last week but has recovered in recent days to end down just 0.3% at the time of writing. Inflation concerns weighed on sentiment, as unexpectedly high CPI data in April suggested that the prospect of interest rate cuts by the Reserve Bank of Australia may be more distant than previously anticipated. This led to broad-based losses across sectors, particularly in industrials, consumer discretionary, and financials. A lower iron ore price on global growth worries also meant the big miners detracted but Anglo American’s rebuffing of BHP’s takeover attempt had the biggest impact.  However, healthcare companies Telix Pharmaceuticals, Pro Medicus bucks the trend on encouraging results while Agricultural stocks like Australian Agricultural Co and Elders benefited from news that China had lifted its ban on Australian beef exports. Lastly, Dominos finally caught a bid, perhaps due to a ground breaking initiative as part of its Japanese roll-out strategy - pineapple injected into the crust mixed with mozzarella.    

Internationally, developed markets as measured by the MSCI World ex Australia Index declined by 0.5% in AUD terms, while emerging markets fared worse with the MSCI Emerging Markets Index falling 3.6%. U.S. stocks, as represented by the S&P 500, fell 0.5%, while European markets such as the Euro Stoxx 50 and the German DAX were slightly negative for the week. The Japanese Nikkei 225 was the best performing international marketer the past week after being the worst performer mid-week.

Nvidia continued to be a major focus in the U.S. market, with its stock contributing significantly to the tech-heavy Nasdaq's gains. However, the biggest moves during the week all happened on Friday in US trading when the Nasdaq fell by 2% before recovering most of those losses within hours. In the first instance a weak result from Salesforce's raised concerns about the broader cloud software industry. The company's slowing growth, attributed to longer sales cycles for large deals and the lack of immediate payoff from the hype surrounding artificial AI, suggests that the sector may be facing challenges in monetising the huge AI related expenses it has incurred. The jump in prices a few hours later was put down to month end rebalancing and all of this overshadowed the much awaited Personal Consumption Expenditures inflation print. As it happened it came in line with expectations at 0.25%. Although the three and six month numbers remain elevated the direction of travel seems to now be in the right direction. Looking forward, attention will likely turn to economic growth and whether this better inflation news is due to a much needed easing of pressure in the US  economy or a sharp deceleration in the consumer economy. 

Interest rate nerves as RBA walks a tightrope

August 2, 2024
Markets were again on the back foot last week. However, despite a fair amount of volatility, most markets were flat or only down by 1% or so. There seems to be an ongoing battle of wills between markets and the various central banks who are keen to talk down markets, lest the wealth effects of a buoyant market detract from the ongoing fight against inflation.
Read More

Equities turbulent but resilient as interest rates rise

August 2, 2024
Last week the S&P 500 traded in a 3% range, having done a 2% round trip on Thursday, followed by a 3% fall on Friday after the inflation data release and then another almost 2% round trip yesterday. Emerging markets were the worst performing, down 4% for the week. Taking a step back though, most equity markets haven’t given back that much of their gains from January, while Europe and the Nasdaq remain up 10% for the year.
Read More

Markets Up Despite Rising Bond Yields and Inflationary Data

August 2, 2024
Bond yields were up again last week but so were equity markets which was a nice change that lead to the first up week in the last four. In fact, while markets have been on the back foot recently, most commentators have been pleasantly surprised that they haven’t reacted too badly to an apparent wind shift in the gusty inflationary data.
Read More

SVB bankruptcy triggers swift response from the Fed

August 2, 2024
On Friday morning Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) had been the 16th largest US bank and a successful S&P 500 company, but by Saturday morning it was bankrupt after a sudden run on its deposit base had rendered it unviable.
Read More

Oh, what a week!

August 2, 2024
Oh what a week! The Four Seasons hit might seem a bit upbeat for the occasion of a banking crisis, but the market has at least got its mojo back in the last few days.
Read More

US Tech and Emerging Markets Lead Recovery

August 2, 2024
Markets have calmed down a great deal in the last two weeks and more recently have mounted a bit of a recovery, with US tech and emerging markets leading the way.
Read More

Markets Retreat on Fading Rate Cut Hopes Before Late Rally

August 2, 2024
Risk assets broadly declined last week as economic data showed resilience and central banks pushed back against aggressive market pricing for rate cuts, puncturing investor hopes.
Read More

Global Equities Up on Hopes of Economic Stimulus

August 2, 2024
Last week saw a notable upswing in global equities, driven by optimism over a potential economic stimulus in China and dubious results in corporate earnings.
Read More

U.S. Jobs Report Sparks Market Shift

August 2, 2024
Amid a mixed bag of US corporate earnings and a strong jobs report fueling rate hike expectations, global markets face contrasting fortunes, highlighting the complexity of forecasting economic trends in a time of technological growth and geopolitical uncertainty.
Read More

S&P 500 Breaks 5,000 Amid Mixed Economic Signals and Rate Cut Speculations

August 2, 2024
It was an up and down week for markets after a strong finish the prior week.
Read More

Unpacking a Volatile Week Amid Inflation Warnings and Surprising Strengths

August 2, 2024
Markets gyrated last week as hotter-than-expected US inflation data sparked an initial tech rout before recovering. Meanwhile better-than-feared earnings results and recession-resilient emerging markets outperformed.
Read More

Global Markets Navigate Mixed Signals: Earnings Surges, Inflation Divergences, and the Persistent Volatility Ahead

August 2, 2024
Global markets were mixed this week as investors digested the latest economic data and corporate earnings results.
Read More

Bad news equals good news

August 2, 2024
In recent years professional investors have got increasingly used to the fact that good news is bad news for markets because higher interest rates are likely to be necessary, and of course vice-versa. However, last week the effect was stronger than ever and stocks rallied mid-week amidst reports of widespread lay-offs and expectations of a weak US jobs report.
Read More

‘Buy the dip’ opportunism start surfacing

August 2, 2024
The US market finally market caught a bid last week. Early in the week the market was down few percent after an earnings miss by ad dependent social media platform Snap (of Snapchat fame) combined with weak guidance raised more doubts about the economy and economic resilience of tech companies.
Read More

US momentarily dips into official bear market territory

August 2, 2024
The seventh negative week in a row for the US sent it briefly into official bear market territory before it recovered slightly late on Friday. The world’s largest stocks (Apple, Microsoft Amazon and Google) are all down 25%.
Read More

Helping your clients assess the climate impact of their Portfolio

August 2, 2024
Nathan Fradley explains how the ethosesg technology can help you assess and design an ethical portfolio that aligns to an investor’s personal values.
Read More

It's going to be a long six months

August 2, 2024
Join Jonathan Ramsay and Andrew Hunt as they discuss what the future holds for the Chinese growth model, Where to from here, and what will the implications be for the west…
Read More

What is a fair way to compare funds?

August 2, 2024
How Can We Do Apple With Apples Comparisons For Industry Funds With Different Asset Allocations And Levels Of Illiquid Investment?
Read More

Helping your clients assess the climate impact of their Portfolio

August 2, 2024
Nathan Fradley explains how the ethosesg technology can help you assess and design an ethical portfolio that aligns to an investor’s personal values.
Read More

Carbon credits and investing – is it the outcome we expect?

August 2, 2024
ETFs that invest in carbon credits are now available. Why should we assume that their price will go up over time? And does buying a carbon credit ETF actually contribute positively to emissions reduction? Will it actually generate the outcome investors are expecting? This article explores the issues around investing in carbon credits.
Read More

Better World makes a difference with investment in renewables

August 2, 2024
There are many direct assets and funds that contribute positively to climate action within the InvestSense Better World Portfolios. Meridian Energy is one of the stand-out direct assets in the portfolio with a climate energy focus.
Read More

Bad news equals good news

August 2, 2024
In recent years professional investors have got increasingly used to the fact that good news is bad news for markets because higher interest rates are likely to be necessary, and of course vice-versa. However, last week the effect was stronger than ever and stocks rallied mid-week amidst reports of widespread lay-offs and expectations of a weak US jobs report.
Read More

‘Buy the dip’ opportunism start surfacing

August 2, 2024
The US market finally market caught a bid last week. Early in the week the market was down few percent after an earnings miss by ad dependent social media platform Snap (of Snapchat fame) combined with weak guidance raised more doubts about the economy and economic resilience of tech companies.
Read More

US momentarily dips into official bear market territory

August 2, 2024
The seventh negative week in a row for the US sent it briefly into official bear market territory before it recovered slightly late on Friday. The world’s largest stocks (Apple, Microsoft Amazon and Google) are all down 25%.
Read More

How Mark Lewin saved 13 hours a week with Managed Accounts

August 2, 2024
Mark Lewin was a financial planner, but is now the Director of Back Office Heros. In his planning business he gained significant efficiencies by recommending and implementing managed accounts for his clients. He tells us how...
Read More
Icon of a letter

InvestSense insights, delivered straight to your inbox.

Icon of a letter

Get the latest industry news

Icon of a letter

Get the latest industry news

Icon of a letter

Get the latest industry news