A Shifting Landscape: Navigating the End of U.S. Exceptionalism and Global Credit Booms
January 30, 2025
Economist Andrew Hunt joins Director Jonathan Ramsay to assess the risks and opportunities that may arise from these changing dynamics—and what investors should be watching in the months ahead.
The last week in markets, as is often the case, was totally dominated by the US economy and monetary policy. In this case it was an encouraging inflation print on Wednesday, followed by the US Fed’s decision to keep rates on hold the next day.
It was a mixed week in global financial markets as the market continued to assess the likelihood of a hard or soft landing next year and the implication for inflation and interest
It was a mildly positive week for global markets, with the S&P/ASX 300 gaining 0.7%. International developed markets were down 0.4% in AUD terms as measured by the MSCI World ex-Australia index.
It has seemed all week that, in quiet US holiday trading, the only thing moving markets was the ‘will they/won’t they’ speculation about the future role of OpenAI’s CEO Sam Altman.
Stocks continued their strong November rally this week, as hopes grew that inflation has peaked and the Fed is nearing the end of its rate hiking cycle. The S&P 500 rose 1.9% on Tuesday following the cooler than expected US CPI print, bringing its gains for the month so far to 7%.
