Monthly Macro with Jonathan Tolub and Hunt Economics: A deeper dive into the three scenarios the market is cycling through: Goldilocks, Recession and Entrenched Inflation

October 25, 2019

US CPI beats economists' expectations

August 2, 2024
The most anticipated economic release of the week (and of the month) turned out to be simultaneously shocking and monotonous. The US Consumer Price Index for June came out at 9.1% Year-on-Year increase, much higher than the 8.8% growth predicted by economists.
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Rebound in the Nasdaq

August 2, 2024
Markets were up more or less in unison last week despite, or really because of, largely weak economic data in the US and mixed results from the US earnings season.
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Markets finish off the month with a strong week

August 2, 2024
Markets capped off a strong month with an even stronger week, with the leading US market up 4% for the week and 9% of for the month.
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Japan - marching to a different tune

August 2, 2024
Join Jonathan Ramsay and Andrew Hunt as they discuss how Japan diverts from the norm when it comes to economics.
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Regime change - past winners could become losers and vice-versa?

August 2, 2024
Join Jonathan Ramsay as he discusses the topic of regime changes and whether past winners could become losers and vice-versa?
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US jobs report surprises on the upside

August 2, 2024
Markets were fairly buoyant for most of the week before a very strong US jobs report upon Friday doused investor hopes that the Fed might pause its interesting rate hiking cycle.
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A strong month for markets

August 2, 2024
Markets capped a very strong month with a strong week and for an apparent kaleidoscope of reasons including not as dismal as expected earnings, anecdotal evidence of slowing inflationary pressures in the US and even some economic resilience in recession bound and energy starved Europe.
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US markets down while China leads the way

August 2, 2024
US markets snapped a month-long winning streak and fell back by three percent while UK, European and Asian markets were up strongly.
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An imploded crypto exchange, muted inflation and a better-than-expected result for the Democrats

August 2, 2024
Early last week it looked like an imploding crypto exchange might be the next leveraged player that the Fed hiking cycle had broken but by the end of the week early signs of a peak in inflation had sent markets rocketing higher.
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All eyes on the CPI

August 2, 2024
Most markets were soft but stable last week while US markets were down a more significant 3%, led by the large US tech stocks.
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Central banks remain wary as US inflation comes down

August 2, 2024
Uncertainty stalked markets last week amidst a raft of rate hikes, but the focus on inflation shifted from the US – where the news was ostensibly quite good – towards Europe, where inflation pressures continue unabated.
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Interest rate sensitivity persists into the new year

August 2, 2024
During the last few weeks, the prospect of rising interest rate expectations continued to grip markets, as the soft landing/rapid disinflation thesis was tested.
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Andrew Hunt's visit to New York and some key implications for global markets

August 2, 2024
Last week Andrew visited the InvestSense offices and shared his observations and findings from his visit to the United States, specifically New York.
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Helping your clients assess the climate impact of their Portfolio

August 2, 2024
Nathan Fradley explains how the ethosesg technology can help you assess and design an ethical portfolio that aligns to an investor’s personal values.
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Carbon credits and investing – is it the outcome we expect?

August 2, 2024
ETFs that invest in carbon credits are now available. Why should we assume that their price will go up over time? And does buying a carbon credit ETF actually contribute positively to emissions reduction? Will it actually generate the outcome investors are expecting? This article explores the issues around investing in carbon credits.
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Better World makes a difference with investment in renewables

August 2, 2024
There are many direct assets and funds that contribute positively to climate action within the InvestSense Better World Portfolios. Meridian Energy is one of the stand-out direct assets in the portfolio with a climate energy focus.
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Bad news equals good news

August 2, 2024
In recent years professional investors have got increasingly used to the fact that good news is bad news for markets because higher interest rates are likely to be necessary, and of course vice-versa. However, last week the effect was stronger than ever and stocks rallied mid-week amidst reports of widespread lay-offs and expectations of a weak US jobs report.
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‘Buy the dip’ opportunism start surfacing

August 2, 2024
The US market finally market caught a bid last week. Early in the week the market was down few percent after an earnings miss by ad dependent social media platform Snap (of Snapchat fame) combined with weak guidance raised more doubts about the economy and economic resilience of tech companies.
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US momentarily dips into official bear market territory

August 2, 2024
The seventh negative week in a row for the US sent it briefly into official bear market territory before it recovered slightly late on Friday. The world’s largest stocks (Apple, Microsoft Amazon and Google) are all down 25%.
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How Mark Lewin saved 13 hours a week with Managed Accounts

August 2, 2024
Mark Lewin was a financial planner, but is now the Director of Back Office Heros. In his planning business he gained significant efficiencies by recommending and implementing managed accounts for his clients. He tells us how...
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