Monthly Macro with Jonathan Tolub and Hunt Economics: A deeper dive into the three scenarios the market is cycling through: Goldilocks, Recession and Entrenched Inflation

October 25, 2019

US CPI beats economists' expectations

August 2, 2024
The most anticipated economic release of the week (and of the month) turned out to be simultaneously shocking and monotonous. The US Consumer Price Index for June came out at 9.1% Year-on-Year increase, much higher than the 8.8% growth predicted by economists.
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Rebound in the Nasdaq

August 2, 2024
Markets were up more or less in unison last week despite, or really because of, largely weak economic data in the US and mixed results from the US earnings season.
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Markets finish off the month with a strong week

August 2, 2024
Markets capped off a strong month with an even stronger week, with the leading US market up 4% for the week and 9% of for the month.
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Japan - marching to a different tune

August 2, 2024
Join Jonathan Ramsay and Andrew Hunt as they discuss how Japan diverts from the norm when it comes to economics.
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Regime change - past winners could become losers and vice-versa?

August 2, 2024
Join Jonathan Ramsay as he discusses the topic of regime changes and whether past winners could become losers and vice-versa?
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US jobs report surprises on the upside

August 2, 2024
Markets were fairly buoyant for most of the week before a very strong US jobs report upon Friday doused investor hopes that the Fed might pause its interesting rate hiking cycle.
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Bulls and bears traded blows that resulted in multiple 4% round trips during the week

August 2, 2024
The to and fro of US markets last week resembled the titanic struggle between Nadal and Medvedev with bulls and bears trading blows that resulted in multiple 4% round trips during the week.
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Record stock movements in the US as earnings diverge from expectations

August 2, 2024
US equity markets ended the week more or less where they started, albeit with some considerable volatility that contained more 4% swings.
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High inflation and geopolitics muddy the water

August 2, 2024
The main news of the week happened as the European market closed. An unequivocal warning by US intelligence that a Russian invasion of Ukraine might be imminent.
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All eyes on the Ukraine and Russia border

August 2, 2024
In what has become a familiar pattern, markets rose in the early part of the week amid signs that Putin’s aggressive posturing towards Ukraine might be just that, only to fall back as he appears to up the ante yet again.
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Investors attempt to price in the invasion and the ensuing sanctions on Russia

August 2, 2024
After repeated warnings from Western intelligence, which most geopolitical experts were skeptical of, Putin invaded Ukraine. Markets fell sharply, especially in the US, but later rebounded and ended the week flat (or up by 2% in the case of the US).
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Commodity markets continue to climb and push on inflation

August 2, 2024
It was another volatile week for stock markets, and even more so for commodity, currency and bonds as investors struggled to digest the implications of expelling Russia from the global economy.
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"What do I tell a client who wants to invest in Crypto?"

August 2, 2024
With 2021 bringing cryptocurrencies into the spotlight for both retail and institutional investors, is there a place for these currencies within client portfolio's?
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The market has a "breadth" problem

August 2, 2024
Join InvestSense Director Jonathan Ramsay and Andrew Hunt of Hunt Economics as they discuss the markets ‘breadth’ problem and how strong liquidity should keep things afloat until February.
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Finding value and maintaining confidence in a FOMO world

August 2, 2024
Join host Toby Potter of IMAP with Nick Kirrage of Schroders and Jonathan Ramsay of InvestSense as they discuss value as a style, and as a driver of conviction when investing.
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Inflation in 2022 - Beware of cross currents in 2022

August 2, 2024
With inflation appearing to be on the way up again, what are some of the possible scenario’s for 2022? Where does inflation go from the zero bound we’ve reached?
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What happened in markets in 2021, and why?

August 2, 2024
Join InvestSense Director, Jonathon Ramsey to reflect on the price action seen in markets in 2021 and what this might mean for 2022.
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We've got a bad case of FOMO, but it's not what you think

August 2, 2024
With valuation still being the lightening rod for when markets react to external forces, the most expensive things tend to move the most. What does this mean for global asset allocators, and what is InvestSense’s position?
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Helping your clients assess the climate impact of their Portfolio

August 2, 2024
Nathan Fradley explains how the ethosesg technology can help you assess and design an ethical portfolio that aligns to an investor’s personal values.
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Carbon credits and investing – is it the outcome we expect?

August 2, 2024
ETFs that invest in carbon credits are now available. Why should we assume that their price will go up over time? And does buying a carbon credit ETF actually contribute positively to emissions reduction? Will it actually generate the outcome investors are expecting? This article explores the issues around investing in carbon credits.
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Better World makes a difference with investment in renewables

August 2, 2024
There are many direct assets and funds that contribute positively to climate action within the InvestSense Better World Portfolios. Meridian Energy is one of the stand-out direct assets in the portfolio with a climate energy focus.
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Bad news equals good news

August 2, 2024
In recent years professional investors have got increasingly used to the fact that good news is bad news for markets because higher interest rates are likely to be necessary, and of course vice-versa. However, last week the effect was stronger than ever and stocks rallied mid-week amidst reports of widespread lay-offs and expectations of a weak US jobs report.
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‘Buy the dip’ opportunism start surfacing

August 2, 2024
The US market finally market caught a bid last week. Early in the week the market was down few percent after an earnings miss by ad dependent social media platform Snap (of Snapchat fame) combined with weak guidance raised more doubts about the economy and economic resilience of tech companies.
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US momentarily dips into official bear market territory

August 2, 2024
The seventh negative week in a row for the US sent it briefly into official bear market territory before it recovered slightly late on Friday. The world’s largest stocks (Apple, Microsoft Amazon and Google) are all down 25%.
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How Mark Lewin saved 13 hours a week with Managed Accounts

August 2, 2024
Mark Lewin was a financial planner, but is now the Director of Back Office Heros. In his planning business he gained significant efficiencies by recommending and implementing managed accounts for his clients. He tells us how...
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