Valuation vs foresight - part 2

January 1, 2021

Markets Retreat on Fading Rate Cut Hopes Before Late Rally

August 2, 2024
Risk assets broadly declined last week as economic data showed resilience and central banks pushed back against aggressive market pricing for rate cuts, puncturing investor hopes.
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Global Equities Up on Hopes of Economic Stimulus

August 2, 2024
Last week saw a notable upswing in global equities, driven by optimism over a potential economic stimulus in China and dubious results in corporate earnings.
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U.S. Jobs Report Sparks Market Shift

August 2, 2024
Amid a mixed bag of US corporate earnings and a strong jobs report fueling rate hike expectations, global markets face contrasting fortunes, highlighting the complexity of forecasting economic trends in a time of technological growth and geopolitical uncertainty.
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S&P 500 Breaks 5,000 Amid Mixed Economic Signals and Rate Cut Speculations

August 2, 2024
It was an up and down week for markets after a strong finish the prior week.
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Unpacking a Volatile Week Amid Inflation Warnings and Surprising Strengths

August 2, 2024
Markets gyrated last week as hotter-than-expected US inflation data sparked an initial tech rout before recovering. Meanwhile better-than-feared earnings results and recession-resilient emerging markets outperformed.
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Global Markets Navigate Mixed Signals: Earnings Surges, Inflation Divergences, and the Persistent Volatility Ahead

August 2, 2024
Global markets were mixed this week as investors digested the latest economic data and corporate earnings results.
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What we are working on this week

August 2, 2024
Last week the InvestSense team spent much of the week preparing for and attending the Portfolio Construction Forum Strategies Conference.
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US Labor Upswing, Eurozone Inflation, and China's Policy Shifts

August 2, 2024
The week of August 28th to September 1st, 2023, saw a delicate balance between economic indicators and market sentiment play out in markets. The United States enjoyed what appears to be Goldilocks labor conditions, with strong job growth and a tightening labor market.
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Global Economic Sentiment Shifts as US Data Strengthens whilst Eurozone Data Weakens

August 2, 2024
Global economic sentiment shifted in the week as US data strengthened, and Eurozone data weakened. Weaker global economic data raised concerns about central bank hawkishness, leading to a stronger US dollar and weaker currencies. Crude oil prices remained resilient amid supply concerns, while tech stocks led US markets lower as Apple took a hit.
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US Markets Closed Flat, China Stabilizes, and the End of Monetary Tightening in Europe?

August 2, 2024
Despite higher-than-expected US CPI data, bond and equity markets remained calm initially. The jump in inflation was attributed to a temporary rise in energy prices and air travel. However, volatility set in due to the IPO of British chip maker ARM, pushing markets up by around 2%. Fears of a further rate hike set in causing US markets to close flat. Conversely, European, Australian, and UK markets ended the week positively, driven by the performance companies reliant on Chinese exports.
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Markets Slammed By Hawkish Rhetoric Despite Pause From The Fed

August 2, 2024
Equity markets around the world fell more or less in unison last week by about 3-4%, before bouncing slightly on Friday. The UK was really the only market to buck the trend, as the Bank of England unexpectedly kept rates on hold after inflation fell by more than forecast.
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Sticky Inflation Concerns Put Markets on the Back Foot

August 2, 2024
Last week markets were down again, reflecting the trends that took root in September - long-term yields pushing higher with markets on the back foot.
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Andrew Hunt's visit to New York and some key implications for global markets

August 2, 2024
Last week Andrew visited the InvestSense offices and shared his observations and findings from his visit to the United States, specifically New York.
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Helping your clients assess the climate impact of their Portfolio

August 2, 2024
Nathan Fradley explains how the ethosesg technology can help you assess and design an ethical portfolio that aligns to an investor’s personal values.
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Carbon credits and investing – is it the outcome we expect?

August 2, 2024
ETFs that invest in carbon credits are now available. Why should we assume that their price will go up over time? And does buying a carbon credit ETF actually contribute positively to emissions reduction? Will it actually generate the outcome investors are expecting? This article explores the issues around investing in carbon credits.
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Better World makes a difference with investment in renewables

August 2, 2024
There are many direct assets and funds that contribute positively to climate action within the InvestSense Better World Portfolios. Meridian Energy is one of the stand-out direct assets in the portfolio with a climate energy focus.
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Bad news equals good news

August 2, 2024
In recent years professional investors have got increasingly used to the fact that good news is bad news for markets because higher interest rates are likely to be necessary, and of course vice-versa. However, last week the effect was stronger than ever and stocks rallied mid-week amidst reports of widespread lay-offs and expectations of a weak US jobs report.
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‘Buy the dip’ opportunism start surfacing

August 2, 2024
The US market finally market caught a bid last week. Early in the week the market was down few percent after an earnings miss by ad dependent social media platform Snap (of Snapchat fame) combined with weak guidance raised more doubts about the economy and economic resilience of tech companies.
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US momentarily dips into official bear market territory

August 2, 2024
The seventh negative week in a row for the US sent it briefly into official bear market territory before it recovered slightly late on Friday. The world’s largest stocks (Apple, Microsoft Amazon and Google) are all down 25%.
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How Mark Lewin saved 13 hours a week with Managed Accounts

August 2, 2024
Mark Lewin was a financial planner, but is now the Director of Back Office Heros. In his planning business he gained significant efficiencies by recommending and implementing managed accounts for his clients. He tells us how...
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